Organized
by:
- The
Embassy of Italy in Korea, Seoul, Korea
- The
Italian Cultural Institute - Seoul, Korea
- The
University of Torino, Torino, Italy
- The Severe
Storm Research Center, Ewha
Womans University, Seoul, Italy
Scientific secretariat:
- Prof.
Seon-Ki Park, Severe Storm Research Center, Ewha Womans University
- Dr.
Antonino Tata, Office of Science & Technology, Embassy of
Italy, Seoul, Korea
Contacts:
- Prof.
Seon-Ki Park, phone +82-02-3277-3331,
e-mail: spark_AT_ewha.ac.kr
- Dr.
Antonino Tata, phone: +82-(0)2-796-0491, fax: +82-(0)2-793-5311, e-mail:
sciencekor_AT_yahoo.it
- The Italian
Cultural Institute, Seoul, Korea, phone:
+82-(0)2-796-0634,
e-mail: cultura.iicseoul_AT_esteri.it
Web:
14:00 Welcoming & Opening
Address
Bae-Yong Lee,
President of Ewha Womans University
Massimo Andrea Leggeri,
Ambassador of Italy I
14: 10 Key Note Address
Climate Change -
Science and Related Policy in Korea
Yun-Ang Chung, Director General, Climate, Information and Technology
Bureau, Korea Meteorological Administration
14:20 Ceremony of Signature of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)
between 1 The University of Torino (Italy) and The Ewha Womans
University (Korea)
14: 40 Scientific Session
Chairman: Prof. Seon Ki Park
14:45 Rokjin J. Park (Seoul National University, Korea)
Some Scientific Issues in Atmospheric Chemistry and Their Climate
Implications
15: 15 Antonello Pasini (CNR-National Research Council, Italy)
The
Challenge of Understanding Climatic Behaviour
15:45 Coffee Break
16:00 Chang-Hoi Ho (Seoul National University, Korea)
Is Climate Change Attributed to Human Activities?
16: 30 Claudio Cassardo (University of Torino, Italy)
Regional Responses to the Global Change: The Case of Italy and Europe
17: 00 Seon Ki Park (Ewha Womans University, Korea)
Forecasting Disastrous Weather Systems to Cope with Global Change
17: 30 Discussion and Concluding Remarks
18: 00 Reception
Summary of scientific
session presentations
Some Scientific Issues in Atmospheric Chemistry and Their Climate Implications
Rokjin J. Park
Ozone and atmospheric aerosol are
two most important air pollutants affecting humans and lives on Earth.
In addition, they have a significant implication for climate because of
their extinctions of radiation in the atmosphere. Spatial and temporal
distributions of those species and the capability of simulating them
are thus critical for examining and quantifying their influences on air
quality and climate. There however are large discrepancies between
observations and models of those species in the atmosphere in part due
to our lack of understanding of relevant chemical and physical
processes. In this work a number of critical scientific issues in
atmospheric ozone and aerosols are presented and discussed in the
context of their roles in climate change.
Is Climate Change Attributed to Human Activities?
Chang-Hoi Ho
The present study has examined
changes In meteorological variables over East Asia during the half of
the 20th century. The long-term meteorological variables include
temperature, precipitation, typhoon, and large-scale circulation
obtained from surface observations and reanalysis data. The author also
investigates ground- observed air pollution and satellite-retrieved
cloud information for recent years. The present results note the
presence of the considerable changes in temperature, precipitation,
typhoon, and large-scale circulation over East Asia. However, the
periods of the utilized data are limited to the past few decades. Thus
it remains insoluble whether the changes are due to climate change
or climate variation. Using recent data sets of aerosol and rainfall
frequency in China, this study has , suggested that climate change is
attributed to human activities.
Forecasting Disastrous Weather Systems to Cope with Global Change
Seon K. Park
Despite continued debate, the
undeniable global warming seems to cause disastrous weather events that
are more frequent and have greater intensities. Disastrous weather
systems cause billions of dollars of damage and numerous deaths in the
Asian countries every year. The eastern Asian countries are especially
susceptible to severe weather related to monsoon, extratropical
cyclones and typhoons. To cope with the climate change and associated
disastrous weather systems, it is essential to improve the accuracy of
forecasting such weather systems.
Some essential factors include: 1) understanding the characteristics of
local weather systems in response to climate change; 2) understanding
the mechanisms of initiation/development of severe weather systems in
local area; and 3) improving numerical weather prediction systems using
high-resolution storm-scale modeling and data assimilation.
The Challenge of Understanding Climate Behaviour
Antonello Pasini
Climate is the prototype of a
complex system and understanding its behaviour is a challenge for
contemporary science. A well-founded knowledge of the climate system is
also needed for avoiding its most dangerous changes and their impacts
on territories and ecosystems. Direct and indirect observations allow
us to find coincidences and correlations among several variables in the
climate system, but do not permit to work out quantitative explanations
of its complex behaviour. Then, in this talk I present two modelling
approaches to the simulation of climate and lead the audience to a
journey in the "virtual laboratory" of a modeller. In doing so, I show
that the models can be validated on the past climate, they are able to
attribute the recent climate changes to some driving causes (forcings)
and they lead us to explore future climate scenarios for the next
decades. Results about validation, attribution and future projections
will be presented. Even if this discussion is mostly founded on a
global basis, emphasis will be also devoted to regional scenarios in
the Mediterranean basin, which appears as a "hot spot" for future
climate change. A brief discussion about vulnerability of
territories/ecosystems and possible impacts of the global climate
change on lands, agriculture and animals concludes this talk.
Regional Responses to the Global Change: The Case of Italy and Europe
Claudio Cassardo
Mean temperatures grew also in Italy
in the past 140 years, and IPCC forecasts show ulterior Iincrements in
the period 2071-2100. In particular, summers are forecasted 3-5°C
warmer than now, thus, at the end of this century, perhaps a
summer like the 2003 one, which caused about 50000 fatality excess in
Europe, will be considered fresh or just normal. But the most
interesting thing to notice is that these increments are not equally
distributed on the European territory. Most of central and northern
Europe would be affected by a winter warming quite remarked, while the
predictions over the Italian territory show higher temperatures
during summer and scarce precipitations. During the last few years, a
change in the summer precipitation regime in Italy has been already
perceived, mainly in the South, with a decrement of the total rainfall
and an increase of the precipitation intensity. Such changes, confirmed
by the results of the regional model forecasts for the next century
(see for instance Prudence project), will cause concrete risks of water
supply shortage and desertification in some areas, and conversely of
landslides and territory damage in other areas or in other periods (for
instance spring and autumn). Also the sea level will
show increases, whose consequences could be catastrophic for the
coastal areas in which human acti~ity is high (i.n Italy this.problem
will affect not only Venice but also other coastal zones). During
the seminar, we will also show some other effects of the forecasted
climatic variations on the agriculture, on the forests and the animals,
with some notes relative to the Italian territory.
Scientific session
speaker's resume
Prof. Rokjin J. Park
Assistant
Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Earth and Environmental
Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
Managing Editor, Atmosphere, Korean Meteorological Society
1995-2001: Ph. D. in Atmospheric Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park
1988-1995: B.S. in Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul National University
2007-Present: Assistant Professor, Seoul National University
2004-2007: Research Scientist/Atmospheric Chemistry, Harvard University
2001-2004: Postdoctoral Scientist, Atmospheric Chemistry, Harvard University
Prof. Rokjin J. Park
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences Seoul National University
San 56-1, Sillim-dong, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 151-742, Republic of Korea
phone: +82-2-880-6715; fax: +82-2-883-4972; e-mail: rjpark_AT_snu.ac.kr
Prof. Chang-Hoi Ho
Associate
Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Earth and Environmental
Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
1988-1994: Ph. D. in Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul National University
1986-1988: M.S. in Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul National University
1982-1986: B.S. in Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul National University
2002-Present: Associate Professor, Seoul National University
1998-2002: Assistant Professor, Seoul National University
1994-1997: Research Associate, NASNGoddard Space Flight Center
Prof. Chang-Hoi Ho
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences ) Seoul National University
I San 56-1, Sillim-dong, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-742, Republic of Korea
phone: +82-2-880-8861; fax: +82-2-876-6795; e-mail: hoch_AT_cpl.snu.ac.kr
Prof. Seon K. Park
Associate Professor of Environmental Science and Engineering and
Director of Severe Storm Research Center, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Korea
Editor-in-Chief, Atmosphere, Korean Meteorological Society
1990-1996: Ph. D. in Meteorology, University of Oklahoma
1984-1986: M.S. in Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul National University
1980-1984: B.S. in Meteorology, Seoul National University
2007-Present: Director, Severe Storm Research Center, Ewha Womans University
2001-Present: Assistant and Associate Professor, Ewha Womans University
2001-2001: Staff Scientist, NASNGoddard Space Flight Center
1999-2000: Assistant Research Scientist, University of Maryland
1996-1999: Research Scientist, CAPS/CIMMS, University of Oklahoma
1987-1990: Weather Forecasting Officer, ROK Air Force
Prof. Seon K. Park
Department of Environmental Science and Engineering Ewha Womans University
11-1 Daehyun-dong, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul 120-750, Republic of Korea
phone: +82-2-3277-3331; fax: +82-2-3277-3275; e-mail: spark_AT_ewha.ac.kr
Dr. Antonello Pasini
Antonello
PASINI graduated cum laude in Physics in 1985 at the University of
Bologna, specialized in General and Theoretical Physics in 1986 at the
same University and in Physics of the atmosphere and Meteorology in
1990 at the Italian Met Service (WMO criteria). He attended several
courses on dynamical modeling and advanced use of vectorial and
parallel computers at the ECMWF (Reading, UK), on non-linear systems
and climate change at the ICTP (Trieste, Italy). Since 1988 till 1999
he was employed as a physicist and meteorologist at the Italian Met
Service (Air Force). Since November 1999 he is affiliated as researcher
to the CNR-lnstitute of Atmospheric Pollution. Dr. Pasini is member of
the Committee on artificial intelligence applications to environmental
sciences of the American Meteorological Society. He has authored more
than 50 scientific papers and a book of conceptual analysis and
popularisation about the modeling method in meteo-climatic systems
(World Scientific). Theoretical physicist as far as his cultural
background is concerned, during the last years Dr. A. Pasini has
focused his own research activity on meteo-climatic modeling, with the
aim at overcoming those limits shown by dynamical models in local
short-range forecasting and global or regional long-range forecasting. Expert in neural networks and theory of complex systems,
he is the author of neural models for forecasting physical variables In
the boundary layer, such as meteorological visibility (fog), radon
concentration at the surface and stable layer depth. The latter
physical characterisation activity of the boundary layer from natural
radioactivity data analysis has led to interesting forecasting
techniques for an air-quality estimation in the towns. At present, he
is developing other environmental applications of neural modeling, with
particular attention to the topics of assessment on the past,
forecasting and predictability in climate change studies. Furthermore,
he has obtained interesting results for a better modeling of
atmospheric dynamics and predictability, by means of both time series
analysis and the study of low-dimensional models from a
differential-geometry point of view.
At present, he is leading scientist of a CNR project regarding the application of neural modeling to climate change studies.
dr. Antonello Pasini
CNR - National Research Council/Institute of Atmospheric Pollution
via Salaria Km 29.300 - 00016 Monterotondo Stazione (Rome -Italy)
phone: +39-06-90672274; fax: +39-06-90672660; e-mail: pasini_AT_iia.cnr.it
Prof. Claudio Cassardo
Prof.
Claudio Cassardo is Associate Professor at the Faculty of Sciences of
Turin University (Italy) since November 2000. He was Researcher at the
University of Eastern Piedmont from 1993 to 2000. He teaches the
following courses: Meteorology, Environmental Physics and Physics of
Climate, and has been the vice-director of the Master of 2nd level in
Meteorology organized in the Turin University. He graduated in Physics
at the Turin University, Italy, and got the PhD in Geophysics at the
Genoa University. He has been Meteorological Forecaster for one year at
the Italian Meteorological Service.
He
has been the local Scientific Responsible of several research projects
funded by the CNR, Italian University Ministery, ASEM and recently he
got a funding for an exchange project in the frame of the executive
protocol of bilateral agreement Italy-Korea.
He had also some collaborations for
several years with the Institute of Sciences and Climate (ISAC) of the
National Research Council (CNR), and participated to the project WORLD
LABORATORY (Project Land 2 n. 305 - DMP Subproject - Drought and
Desertification) with close collaboration with the Academia Sinica of
Beijing (China) regarding studies on the interaction surface-vegetation-atmosphere.
He is Member and Webmaster of the
IGU (International Geographic Union) Commission on Water Sustainability
(web address: http://water-sustainability.ph.unito.it/), whose main
objective is the understanding of the effects of the atmospheric
variations and of the surface coverage on the frequency and gravity of
meteorological and hydrological events, and is also a member of the
working group on the boundary layer at the COSMOS consortium. He has
been Mission Scientist during the intensive phase (Sep 1999) of the
experimental campaign of MAP (Mesoscale Alpine Programme).
His principal research interest
include the study of exchange processes in the surface layer, with
particular emphasis on the soil physical parameters (temperature and
moisture) and turbulent heat fluxes, also from a climatological point
of view. His activity ranges from a theoretical approach, also through
the use of numerical models, to the experimental activity (He is the
responsible of the experimental measuring stations of the Turin
University).
He has published over 40 papers on
international scientific journals and book, and over 100 presentations
at international and national conferences, as well as many invited
seminars. More details on his web page: http://www.ph.unito.it/-cassardo/
Prof. Claudio Cassardo
Department of General Physics "Amedeo Avogadro"
University of Torino
Via Pietro Giuria 1 - 10125 Torino - Turin, Italy
phone: +39-011-670-7407; fax: +39-011-658-444; e-mail: cassardo_AT_ph.unito.it or claudio.cassardo_AT_unito.it